Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou would win this match.
