The Clermont backline have often looked a little unhinged when under pressure, and they can expect to face their share of that against an aggressive unit in Lille who have some quality in the attacking third and can make their scoring chances count.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
