Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou City win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Hebei had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Hebei win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou City would win this match.
