Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Fulham |
| 22.74% | 25.86% | 51.41% |
| Both teams to score 46.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.1% | 55.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.99% | 77.01% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.07% | 39.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.41% | 76.59% |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% | 21.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.99% | 55.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Fulham |
| 1-0 @ 7.99% 2-1 @ 5.59% 2-0 @ 3.67% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.3% 3-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.35% Total : 22.74% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 13.26% 0-2 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-3 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 4.71% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.04% Total : 51.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burnley | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 65 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 58 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 48 |
| 4 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 45 |
| 6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 44 |
| 8 | Millwall | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 43 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 42 |
| 10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 42 |
| 11 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Hull City | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 40 |
| 13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 39 |
| 14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 39 |
| 15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 |
| 16 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 38 |
| 17 | Reading | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 38 |
| 18 | Bristol City | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 36 |
| 19 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 33 |
| 20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 32 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 29 |
| 22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 28 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
| 24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 26 |
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