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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 9 | 69 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Bristol City | 46 | -15 | 55 |
18 | Cardiff City | 46 | -18 | 53 |
19 | Hull City | 46 | -13 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
50.63% | 25.28% | 24.09% |
Both teams to score 50.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.44% | 52.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.78% | 74.22% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.23% | 20.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.59% | 53.42% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.21% | 36.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.42% | 73.58% |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.01% 2-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.53% Total : 50.63% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.64% 1-2 @ 6% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.78% Total : 24.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 65 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 58 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 48 |
4 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 |
5 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 45 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 44 |
8 | Millwall | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 43 |
9 | Sunderland | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 42 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 42 |
11 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 40 |
12 | Hull City | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 40 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 39 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 39 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 |
16 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 38 |
17 | Reading | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 38 |
18 | Bristol City | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 36 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 33 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 32 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 29 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 28 |
23 | Blackpool | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 26 |
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