Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 64.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.