Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahamas win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahamas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Trinidad and Tobago win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
