Vasco da Gama
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 2nd Leg
May 20, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco
1 - 1
Operario PR

Rayan (42')
Adson (106')
FT
(aet)
Ademilson (90+3')
Allano (106')
Vasco win 7-6 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Vasco da Gama and Operario Ferroviario.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Vasco 3-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, May 17 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Operario Ferroviario

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Operario PR 1-1 Vasco
Thursday, May 1 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Operario Ferroviario had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Operario Ferroviario win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%).

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawOperario Ferroviario
47.58% (1.35 1.35)25.24% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)27.17% (-1.338 -1.34)
Both teams to score 52.99% (-0.936 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.91% (-0.767 -0.77)50.09% (0.768 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (-0.689 -0.69)72.06% (0.688 0.69)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (0.274 0.27)21.07% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.12% (0.43 0.43)53.88% (-0.429 -0.43)
Operario Ferroviario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14% (-1.424 -1.42)32.86% (1.424 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57% (-1.616 -1.62)69.43% (1.615 1.62)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 47.58%
    Operario Ferroviario 27.17%
    Draw 25.24%
Vasco da GamaDrawOperario Ferroviario
1-0 @ 10.78% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.084 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.394 0.39)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.239 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.107 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 47.58%
1-1 @ 12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.213 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.17%

Head to Head
May 1, 2025 8pm
Third Round 1st Leg
Operario PR
1-1
Vasco
Boschilia (72')
Allano (23'), Mauricio de Oliveira Figueiredo (66'), Sant'anna Rodrigues (90+3')
Moreira (20')
Piton (25'), Freitas (60')