Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
