Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Nacional.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
