Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.