Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.