Hoping to end the season in different form to how they started it, a victory will go a long way to securing Basaksehir's position in Europe.
Kasimpasa will provide a stubborn test, but a Basaksehir victory remains the most likely outcome this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
