Stenhousemuir
Scottish Championship Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 6, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Ochilview Park
Airdrieonians

Stenhousemuir
1 - 3
Airdrieonians

Aitken (89' pen.)
Buchanan (20'), Aitken (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McGrattan (21', 29'), Mochrie (51')
Wilson (52'), Strapp (88')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship Playoffs Semi-Finals clash between Stenhousemuir and Airdrieonians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Last Game: Airdrieonians 0-1 Ayr
Friday, May 2 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawAirdrieonians
43.98%24.81%31.21%
Both teams to score 56.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92%46.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62%68.38%
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99%21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22%53.78%
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09%27.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47%63.52%
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 43.98%
    Airdrieonians 31.21%
    Draw 24.8%
StenhousemuirDrawAirdrieonians
1-0 @ 9.15%
2-1 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 7.14%
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-0 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.48%
1-2 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 4.77%
1-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.21%

How you voted: Stenhousemuir vs Airdrieonians

Stenhousemuir
36.4%
Draw
18.2%
Airdrieonians
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2020 7.30pm
Group Stage
Stenhousemuir
0-2
Airdrieonians

Little (87')
McKay (47'), Thomson (87')
Apr 13, 2019 5.15pm
Gameweek 33
Airdrieonians
0-1
Stenhousemuir

Robertson (85')
McGuigan (5')
Munro (70')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stenhousemuir
1-0
Airdrieonians
Halleran (74')
Donaldson (61')

Hutton (56'), Carrick (64')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 11
Airdrieonians
0-1
Stenhousemuir

Crighton (90')
McGuigan (86')
Paton (76'), Dickson (80'), Neill (85')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Stenhousemuir
1-2
Airdrieonians
Crighton (45' og.)
Neill (90')
Conroy (42', 56')
Robertson (13')