Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
