Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Bari had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.