Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
