

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
| 39.01% ( | 24.52% ( | 36.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.55% ( | 43.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.15% ( | 65.85% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( | 22.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.34% ( | 55.66% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.46% ( | 23.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.4% ( | 57.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.01% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 36.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
