

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Sassuolo | 
| 43.4% (  -0.22) | 24.68% (  0.07) | 31.91% (  0.14) | 
| Both teams to score 57.71% (  -0.2) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.77% (  -0.29) | 45.22% (  0.28) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.43% (  -0.27) | 67.57% (  0.27) | 
| Lecce Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.09% (  -0.22) | 20.91% (  0.22) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.36% (  -0.34) | 53.63% (  0.34) | 
| Sassuolo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.96% (  -0.05) | 27.04% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.6% (  -0.06) | 62.4% (  0.06) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Lecce | Draw | Sassuolo | 
| 2-1 @ 9.05% (  -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.85% (  0.05) 2-0 @ 6.92% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.72% (  -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.61% (  -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.09% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.85% (  -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.41% (  -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 11.57% (  0.05) 2-2 @ 5.92% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.65% (  0.07) 3-3 @ 1.35% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 7.57% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 7.39% (  0.08) 0-2 @ 4.84% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 3.3% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.58% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% (  0.02) 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.91% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 | 
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 | 
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 | 
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 | 
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 | 
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 | 
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 | 
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 | 
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 | 
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 | 
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 | 
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 | 
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 | 
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 | 
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 | 
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 | 
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 | 
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 | 
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
