Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 51.62%. A win for had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%).
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
| 25% | 23.38% | 51.62% |
| Both teams to score 57.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% | 43.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% | 66.17% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% | 31.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.42% | 67.58% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% | 17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.88% | 47.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 6.37% 1-0 @ 6.18% 2-0 @ 3.6% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.8% Total : 25% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-1 @ 9.41% 0-2 @ 8.34% 1-3 @ 5.73% 0-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 2.54% 0-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.99% Total : 51.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 26 | 44 |
| 2 | Juventus | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 37 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 36 |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 34 |
| 5 | Lazio | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 31 |
| 6 | Roma | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 28 |
| 8 | Udinese | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 23 |
| 10 | Torino | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
| 12 | Bologna | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 19 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
| 15 | Monza | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | SassuoloSassuolo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 16 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 9 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 16 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 7 |
| 20 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 6 |
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