Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 41.93%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 28.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
