Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
