Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 49.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
