Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 41.78%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 26.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (7.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.81%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
