Scottish League One | Gameweek 36

May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK

Links Park

Montrose
0 - 2
Inverness

Machado (41')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Allan (45+2'), Mckay (61')
(84')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Montrose and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montrose

All competitions

Last Game: Alloa 2-1 Montrose
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Last Game: Inverness 3-0 Arbroath
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Montrose	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
29.3% ( 0.27)	25% ( -0.08)	45.7% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 55.25% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.18% (

0.49)

47.82% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.99% (

0.45)

70.01% (

-0.45)

Montrose Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.91% (

0.45)

30.09% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.77% (

0.54)

66.22% (

-0.54)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03% (

0.12)

20.96% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.28% (

0.18)

53.72% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Montrose 29.3%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 45.7%

Draw 25%

Montrose	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 29.3%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.7%