

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Kelty Hearts | 
| 61.39% (  0.25) | 19.73% (  0.01) | 18.88% (  -0.27) | 
| Both teams to score 61.07% (  -0.55) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.51% (  -0.49) | 34.49% (  0.48) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.58% (  -0.55) | 56.42% (  0.55) | 
| Hamilton Academical Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 89.1% (  -0.08) | 10.89% (  0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.96% (  -0.18) | 35.04% (  0.18) | 
| Kelty Hearts Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.53% (  -0.55) | 31.47% (  0.55) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.15% (  -0.65) | 67.85% (  0.64) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Kelty Hearts | 
| 2-1 @ 9.74% (  0.03) 2-0 @ 8.42% (  0.15) 1-0 @ 7.6% (  0.16) 3-1 @ 7.2% 3-0 @ 6.23% (  0.09) 3-2 @ 4.16% (  -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.99% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.45% (  0.04) 4-2 @ 2.31% (  -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.77% (  -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.53% (  0.01) 5-2 @ 1.02% (  -0.02) Other @ 3.97% Total : 61.39% | 1-1 @ 8.79% (  0.06) 2-2 @ 5.63% (  -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.43% (  0.09) 3-3 @ 1.6% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.73% | 1-2 @ 5.08% (  -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.96% (  0.04) 0-2 @ 2.29% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% (  -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.96% (  -0.05) Other @ 3.42% Total : 18.88% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 | 
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 | 
| 3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 | 
| 4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 | 
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 | 
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 | 
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 | 
| 8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 | 
| 9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 | 
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
