Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.