MX23RW : Friday, September 29 14:59:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 7
Sep 22, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mrsool Park
Al-Nassr
4 - 3
Al-Ahli
Ronaldo (4', 52'), Talisca (17', 45+6')
Mane (34'), Talisca (90+6')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kessie (30'), Mahrez (50' pen.), Albirakan (87')
Majrashi (45'), Yaslam (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Persepolis 0-2 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-2 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al-Ahli

We are expecting a high-quality game of football here between two sides that have been tipped to challenge for the title this season. A few notable absentees for Al-Ahli could be a crucial factor in this one, which is why we are leaning toward the hosts to edge it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
45.05% (0.665 0.66) 25.31% (-0.279 -0.28) 29.63% (-0.384 -0.38)
Both teams to score 54.43% (0.686 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (0.993 0.99)48.99% (-0.989 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93% (0.89 0.89)71.07% (-0.887 -0.89)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.72699999999999 0.73)21.74% (-0.724 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09% (1.096 1.1)54.91% (-1.093 -1.09)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.23400000000001 0.23)30.45% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.276 0.28)66.66% (-0.273 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 45.05%
    Al-Ahli 29.63%
    Draw 25.31%
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.71% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.143 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.102 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.068 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 45.05%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.272 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.272 -0.27)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli

Al-Nassr
79.5%
Draw
6.8%
Al-Ahli
13.6%
44
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2020 2.40pm
Quarter-Finals
Al-Nassr
2-0
Al-Ahli
Martinez (13'), Asiri (55')
Albirakan (88')

Al-Majhad (6'), Hawsawi (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad76011851318
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal75202171417
3Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun7511136716
4Al Ettifaq7511159616
5Al-Nassr75022291315
6Al-AhliAl-Ahli75021613315
7Al WahdaAl Wahda74031511412
8Al Fateh73221513211
9Al Fayha72328629
10Al Khaleej7223912-38
11Al ShababAl Shabab7223913-48
12Al Tai7214612-67
13Abha7205513-86
14Damac7043914-54
15Al Okhdood711538-54
16Al RaedAl Raed7115513-84
17Al Riyadh7115519-144
18Al Hazem7034516-113

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