Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.