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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica
Gorica
2 - 1
Hajduk Split
Stiglec (86'), Matej Juric (90+2')
Prsir (64'), Raspopovic (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sarlija (62')
Sarlija (78')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and Hajduk Split.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rudes 0-2 Gorica
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 0-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, September 2 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
GoricaDrawHajduk Split
23.28% (0.418 0.42) 26.4% (0.254 0.25) 50.31% (-0.673 -0.67)
Both teams to score 46.08% (-0.247 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.62% (-0.554 -0.55)57.38% (0.555 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.8% (-0.444 -0.44)78.2% (0.443 0.44)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (0.092999999999996 0.09)40.24% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (0.082000000000001 0.08)76.87% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)22.9% (0.532 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (-0.78899999999999 -0.79)56.66% (0.78899999999999 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 23.29%
    Hajduk Split 50.31%
    Draw 26.4%
GoricaDrawHajduk Split
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.197 0.2)
2-1 @ 5.63% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.82% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.71% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.16% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 23.29%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 9.21% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 13.58% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 10.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.31%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Hajduk Split12804148624
2HNK RijekaRijeka117222291323
3Osijek1263329181121
4Dinamo Zagreb106132191219
5GoricaGorica11542128419
6NK VarazdinVarazdin123721614216
7NK Lokomotiva113531411314
8Slaven Koprivnica133461425-1113
9NK Istra 1961Istra 1961131571029-198
10Rudes130310728-213

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