Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 69.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 11.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
