

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 40.98% ( | 24.67% ( | 34.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.55% ( | 44.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.18% ( | 66.82% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% ( | 21.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 45.14% ( | 54.86% ( |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( | 25.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 40.09% ( | 59.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.98% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| Q | | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
