Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 46.14% ( | 25.31% ( | 28.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.43% ( | 49.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.41% ( | 71.59% ( |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( | 21.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.47% ( | 54.53% ( |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% ( | 31.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.07% ( | 67.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% ( 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 46.13% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.55% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 |
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 |
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 |
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 |
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 |
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 |
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 |
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