Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 65.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 3-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.