Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Larne had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.