Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
