Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Larne in this match.