Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
