Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
