Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 23.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.