Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 10
May 20, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stadyen Atlant

Naftan
1 - 3
Neman

Pranovich (39')
Camara (31')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Kuchinski (2'), Pantya (23'), Chatelin Gweth (32')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Naftan and Neman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gomel 2-0 Naftan
Friday, May 16 at 6.55pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Torpedo-BelAZ 0-1 Neman
Friday, May 16 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 17.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.

Result
NaftanDrawNeman
17.66% (0.107 0.11)25.1% (-0.099 -0.1)57.24% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.06% (0.42 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.4% (0.462 0.46)58.6% (-0.46 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.84% (0.358 0.36)79.16% (-0.358 -0.36)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.89% (0.40900000000001 0.41)47.11% (-0.408 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.43% (0.307 0.31)82.57% (-0.306 -0.31)
Neman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.182 0.18)20.49% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.287 0.29)52.97% (-0.285 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Naftan 17.66%
    Neman 57.23%
    Draw 25.09%
NaftanDrawNeman
1-0 @ 7.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.34% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 2.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.09% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 17.66%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.65% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.44% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 15.3% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 12.12% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 6.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.82% (0.052 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.54% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.91% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 57.23%

Head to Head
Sep 25, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Naftan
0-0
Neman
Suchkov (29'), Lebedev (81'), Kharitonovich (90+1')
Kuchinskiy (10')
Mar 16, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 1
Neman
2-1
Naftan
Karpovich (35'), Alykulov (58')
Parkhomenko (40')
Suchkov (9')
Lebedev (54'), Badoev (79')
Dec 2, 2023 11am
Gameweek 30
Neman
6-1
Naftan
Zubovich (39', 75', 78'), Suchkov (52'), Pantya (66'), Kravtsov (90+3')
Alykulov (12')
Panyukov (81')
Kirilenko (74')
Jul 7, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Naftan
0-3
Neman

Drabatovich (49'), Shamanov (90')
Savitskiy (10'), Zubovich (51'), Daineko (90+3')
Paparyga (77')