MX23RW : Wednesday, May 21 21:54:41| >> :60:752:752:
Athletico Paranaense
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 2nd Leg
May 20, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Brusque

Moraes Silva (2')
Moraes Silva (58'), Pele (79'), Belezi (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Figueira de Freitas (43'), Ruan Vasconcelos Ferreira (72'), Robinho (77')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Athletico Paranaense and Brusque.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Brusque 0-0 Athletico PR
Thursday, May 1 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil

Brusque

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Brusque 0-0 Athletico PR
Thursday, May 1 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Brusque had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Brusque win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBrusque
62.36% (0.014999999999993 0.01) 21.54% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 16.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (0.039999999999999 0.04)47.61% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18% (0.037000000000003 0.04)69.81% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)14.69% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.12% (0.033999999999999 0.03)42.87% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Brusque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.44% (0.015999999999998 0.02)42.55% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.09% (0.015999999999998 0.02)78.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 62.35%
    Brusque 16.1%
    Draw 21.54%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBrusque
1-0 @ 11.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 62.35%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 21.54%
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.38%
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 16.1%

Head to Head
May 1, 2025 8pm
Third Round 1st Leg
Brusque
0-0
Athletico PR
Carvalho Costa (22'), Eduardo Santos (87')
de Oliveira Teodoro Falcao (89')
rhs 2.0
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