Curzon Ashton 2-1 Buxton - National League North - January 7, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon Ashton	Draw	Buxton
46.14% ( 0.21)	25.92% ( -0.07)	27.93% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 51.43% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.6% (

0.18)

52.4% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.92% (

0.16)

74.08% (

-0.16)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.32% (

0.18)

22.67% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.67% (

0.26)

56.32% (

-0.27)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.51% (

-0.02)

33.48% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.88% (

-0.02)

70.12% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Curzon Ashton 46.14%

Buxton 27.93%

Draw 25.92%

Curzon Ashton	Draw	Buxton
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 46.14%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 27.93%