Alfreton Town 3-3 Hereford United - National League North - October 23, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK at North Street

Hobson (3'), Evans (42'), Reeves (79')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Storey (40', 62'), Haines (90+3')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Hereford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Hereford United
29.78%	26.41%	43.81%

Both teams to score 51.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.6%

53.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.07%

74.93%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.39%

32.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.85%

69.15%

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.78%

24.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.43%

58.57%

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 29.78%

Hereford United 43.81%

Draw 26.41%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Hereford United
1-0 @ 8.85% 2-1 @ 7.03% 2-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.78%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 8.9% 0-2 @ 7.94% 1-3 @ 4.21% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.64% Total : 43.81%