Friendlies 1 | 2nd Leg

Jun 6, 2025 at 9pm UK

Stade Mohamed V

Morocco
2 - 0
Tunisia

(Tunisia win 4-3 on aggregate)

Hakimi (80'), El Kaabi (90+4')
Ounahi (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mejbri (17'), Abdi (40'), Abdi (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Morocco and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

Last Game: Morocco 2-0 Tanzania
Tuesday, March 25 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Tunisia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Tunisia 2-0 Burkina Faso
Monday, June 2 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Morocco win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw has a probability of 23.9% and a win for Tunisia has a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Tunisia win it is 0-1 (6.66%).

Result
Morocco	Draw	Tunisia
56.12% ( 0.57)	23.91% ( 0.03)	19.97% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 48.92% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.57% (

-0.82)

51.43% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.75% (

-0.72)

73.24% (

0.72)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.83% (

-0.09)

18.17% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.84% (

-0.16)

49.15% (

0.16)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.78% (

-1.1)

40.21% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.15% (

-1.02)

76.85% (

1.02)

Score Analysis

Morocco 56.11%

Tunisia 19.97%

Draw 23.91%

Morocco	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 56.11%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.91%	0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.29% Total : 19.97%