Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 18, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda

Morocco
7 - 0
Lesotho

Diaz (5', 15', 42'), Rahimi (37', 45+2' pen.), En-Nesyri (68'), Saibari (70')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Rasethuntsa (25'), Moerane (45+1'), Malakia Sefoli (56'), Motebang (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Morocco and Lesotho, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Gabon 1-5 Morocco
Friday, November 15 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Lesotho

Last Game: Lesotho 1-0 CAR
Thursday, November 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 80.57%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 4.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.14%) and 3-0 (13.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.14%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Morocco	Draw	Lesotho
80.57% ( -0.65)	14.66% ( 0.49)	4.77% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 28.17% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.16% (

-1.26)

50.84% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.28% (

-1.12)

72.72% (

1.12)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.59% (

-0.49)

10.41% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.05% (

-1.13)

33.96% (

1.13)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

31.44% (

-0.15)

68.56% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.56% (

-0.06)

94.44% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Morocco 80.55%

Lesotho 4.77%

Draw 14.66%

Morocco	Draw	Lesotho
2-0 @ 18.26% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 16.14% ( 0.47) 3-0 @ 13.77% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 80.55%	0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.35) 1-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 14.66%	0-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 4.77%