Major League Soccer

Jun 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
2 - 0
St Louis City

Ferreira (28' pen.), Burgess (81')
Illarramendi (45+11'), Ibeagha (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nilsson (26'), Parker (34'), Lowen (68'), Thorisson (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 0-0 Portland
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Dallas 1-1 St Louis City

In the midst of winless streaks, both teams will fight hard for a victory in Sunday's meeting, and we anticipate a tight contest with the hosts particularly keen to bounce back under new management. We put the two sides on a fairly level playing field and see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome in Texas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	St Louis City
60.13% ( 0.2)	21.07% ( -0.08)	18.8% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 56.04% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.02% (

0.21)

40.98% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.63% (

0.21)

63.37% (

-0.21)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.76% (

0.13)

13.23% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60% (

0.25)

40% (

-0.25)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.59% (

0.01)

35.41% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.83% (

72.17% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Dallas 60.13%

St Louis City 18.8%

Draw 21.07%

Dallas	Draw	St Louis City
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 60.13%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.07%	1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.79% 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 18.8%