Austin FC
Major League Soccer | 2nd Leg
Jun 15, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Q2 Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Austin
vs.
NY Red Bulls

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Austin FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Diego 2-0 Austin
Sunday, June 1 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Colorado vs. Austin
Sunday, June 8 at 2.30am in MLS Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Austin FC win with a probability of 52.02%. A win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 24.48% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win is 0-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).

Result
Austin FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.02% (1.601 1.6)23.49% (-0.134 -0.13)24.48% (-1.47 -1.47)
Both teams to score 56.14% (-1.07 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25% (-0.718 -0.72)44.75% (0.715 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89% (-0.695 -0.7)67.11% (0.69199999999999 0.69)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79% (0.33 0.33)17.21% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.5% (0.577 0.58)47.5% (-0.579 -0.58)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.82% (-1.57 -1.57)32.18% (1.568 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33% (-1.818 -1.82)68.67% (1.816 1.82)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 52.02%
    New York Red Bulls 24.48%
    Draw 23.49%
Austin FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.75% (0.399 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.44 0.44)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.115 0.12)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.309 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.075 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.077 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.158 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 52.02%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.28% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.285 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 24.48%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Austin
Rigoni (7' og.)
Edelman (8'), T (9'), Yearwood (61')
Driussi (44')
Urruti (82'), Lima (84')