Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | 2nd Leg

Jun 15, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Q2 Stadium

Austin
2 - 1
NY Red Bulls

(New York Red Bulls win 5-3 on aggregate)

Biro (6'), Vazquez (51')
Desler (21'), Pereira (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vazquez (23' og.)
Stroud (37'), Eile (80'), Hack (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Austin FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: San Diego 2-0 Austin
Sunday, June 1 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Colorado vs. Austin
Sunday, June 8 at 2.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Atlanta
Sunday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Austin FC win with a probability of 52.02%. A win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 24.48% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win is 0-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).

Result
Austin FC	Draw	New York Red Bulls
52.02% ( 1.6)	23.49% ( -0.13)	24.48% ( -1.47)

Both teams to score 56.14% (

-1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.25% (

-0.72)

44.75% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.89% (

-0.7)

67.11% (

0.69)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.79% (

0.33)

17.21% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.5% (

0.58)

47.5% (

-0.58)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.82% (

-1.57)

32.18% (

1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.33% (

-1.82)

68.67% (

1.82)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 52.02%

New York Red Bulls 24.48%

Draw 23.49%

Austin FC	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.02%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.49%	0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.59% Total : 24.48%