Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
